Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1289

MLB

Top Over

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.2 • 82

Top Fade

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +0.5 • 20

Top 1

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Nathan Lukes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.2

Top 3

Brayan Rocchio

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Wyatt Langford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ian Happ	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Jung	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willson Contreras	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Bregman	3/3	PHI @ CHC	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ MIA	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Randal Grichuk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ TB	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	HOU @ CLE	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ TB	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Matthews	3/3	HOU @ CLE	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mark Vientos	3/3	MIN @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Roman Anthony	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	SD @ COL	H	1.0	0.6	1.1	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Brito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mark Vientos	3/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Massey	3/3	BAL @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brady House	3/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Matthews	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dane Myers	3/3	CIN @ TB	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Eli White	3/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Eli White	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Brito ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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