Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1289

MLB

Top Over

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.2 • 82

Top Fade

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +0.5 • 20

Top 1

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Nathan Lukes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.2

Top 3

Brayan Rocchio

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Wyatt Langford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	TOR @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Marchan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rhys Hoskins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan O'hearn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Gray ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	PIT @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	TOR @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Carlos Correa	3/3	HOU @ CLE	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ TB	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Riley Greene	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willson Contreras	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willy Adames	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alek Thomas	3/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Young	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jahmai Jones	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Tena ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	TOR @ LAA	H	0.7	0.9	0.9	4	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.3	1.1	1.1	4	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ COL	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Gray ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ NYM	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan O'hearn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	CWS @ AZ	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	1.0	1.3	1.1	1	WATCH	-0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez	3/3	STL @ MIA	H	1.0	1.3	1.1	1	WATCH	-0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	SD @ COL	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	TOR @ LAA	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan O'hearn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TEX	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rhys Hoskins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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