Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 22 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1273

MLB

Top Over

Brice Turang

RBI • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Jung Hoo Lee

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Brayan Rocchio

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Carlos Cortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Jackson Merrill

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Elly De La Cruz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ DET	RBI	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	HOU @ CLE	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Carlos Cortes	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ COL	H	0.0	1.0	1.3	86	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
5	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ TB	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mike Trout	3/3	TOR @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ LAA	H	2.3	1.6	0.7	77	OVER	+0.7	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ TB	H	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	BAL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jorge Soler	3/3	TOR @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luke Raley	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	0.0	1.2	0.7	72	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CLE	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	BAL @ KC	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Everson Pereira	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Burger	3/3	PIT @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nolan Arenado	3/3	CWS @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Oswald Peraza ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	MIL @ DET	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Burger	3/3	PIT @ TEX	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mike Trout	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ COL	H	0.0	0.5	1.3	65	UNDER	-0.5	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ TB	RBI	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nolan Arenado	3/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Carlos Correa	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	H	0.3	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.6	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	SD @ COL	H	0.0	0.4	1.3	62	UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ AZ	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Canzone	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	CIN @ TB	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trevor Story	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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