Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 27 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

37.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

693

MLB

Top Over

Willson Contreras

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Byron Buxton

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Josh Jung

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Vaughn Grissom

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Andres Gimenez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Nathan Church

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.6 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Angel Martinez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 77 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	2.3	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Vaughn Grissom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ CWS	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
4	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
5	Angel Martinez	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ TEX	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Manny Machado	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	LAA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	LAA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Angel Martinez	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ MIN	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	0.0	0.9	0.9	70	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.9	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jose Ramirez	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Manny Machado	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ PIT	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	0.3	1.0	1.3	58	UNDER	-0.7	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Konnor Griffin	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nick Castellanos ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.0	0.5	1.0	55	UNDER	-0.5	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Benintendi	3/3	LAA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Corey Seager	3/3	NYY @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Marcell Ozuna	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.7	1.4	0.5	54	OVER	+0.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ MIN	H	2.0	1.3	1.3	51	OVER	+0.7	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nolan Schanuel	3/3	LAA @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Mangum	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ CLE	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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