Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1270

MLB

Top Over

Willson Contreras

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

James Wood

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Dane Myers

H • -0.8 • 28

Top 1

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Nathaniel Lowe

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Samuel Basallo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Jung Hoo Lee

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.3

Top 5

Andres Gimenez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	2.3	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	COL @ CIN	HR	1.3	0.4	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BAL	H	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ PHI	H	3.0	1.8	0.7	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+2.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	STL @ PIT	H	2.3	1.5	0.5	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ ATL	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	HOU @ BAL	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TOR	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ PIT	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Taylor Ward	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brett Baty	3/3	WSH @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kody Clemens	3/3	SEA @ MIN	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	HOU @ BAL	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	MIA @ LAD	H	2.3	1.1	1.5	77	TOP OVER	+1.2	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Mclain	3/3	COL @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Manny Machado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	H	2.0	1.2	0.8	77	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	SF @ PHI	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ BAL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	LAA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dalton Rushing	3/3	MIA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	DET @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Carson Benge	3/3	WSH @ NYM	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ BAL	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Manny Machado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.8	71	TOP OVER	+1.0	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	COL @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	LAA @ CWS	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ CIN	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	DET @ ATL	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ PHI	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ TEX	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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