Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

18.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1050

MLB

Top Over

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ozzie Albies

H • +1.0 • 28

Top 1

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Cody Bellinger

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Bryson Stott

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Kazuma Okamoto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Gunnar Henderson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Naylor	3/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mj Melendez	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Salvador Perez	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tj Friedl	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Correa	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ SEA	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	MIL @ STL	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ DET	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	0.3	1.5	0.7	52	UNDER	-1.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	1.7	1.5	0.5	52	OVER	+0.2	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SEA	H	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CHC	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Sullivan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ SEA	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	0.3	1.0	1.0	49	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Troy Johnston	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adolis Garcia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Hays ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cam Smith	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carter Jensen	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cole Young	3/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Connor Norby	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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