Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

18.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1050

MLB

Top Over

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ozzie Albies

H • +1.0 • 28

Top 1

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Cody Bellinger

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Bryson Stott

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Kazuma Okamoto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dylan Beavers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Graham Pauley	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Collins	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jakob Marsee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jo Adell	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Lowe	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Leody Taveras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Victor Scott Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Vilade	3/3	TOR @ TB	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	LAD @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	0.3	0.6	1.3	48	UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SD @ SF	H	0.3	1.3	0.7	47	UNDER	-1.0	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Matthews	3/3	LAD @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ TB	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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