Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1215

MLB

Top Over

Jonathan Aranda

H • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Jung Hoo Lee

H • -1.1 • 84

Top Fade

Christian Walker

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Jonathan Aranda

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Cody Bellinger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.7

Top 4

Jarren Duran

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Aaron Judge

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TOR @ TB	H	3.0	1.4	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+2.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Cody Bellinger	3/3	TEX @ NYY	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	2.7	1.7	1.0	91	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.7	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ DET	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Aaron Judge	3/3	TEX @ NYY	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SD @ SF	H	0.0	1.2	1.1	84	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-1.1	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ MIA	H	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jorge Mateo	3/3	ATL @ SEA	H	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	TEX @ NYY	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ PHI	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ AZ	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ MIA	RBI	0.0	1.4	0.7	77	TOP UNDER	-1.4	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brent Rooker	3/3	OAK @ PHI	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cam Smith	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ SEA	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ PHI	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ SEA	H	2.0	1.2	1.1	68	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TOR @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jose Caballero	3/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TOR @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathan Church	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gleyber Torres ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ DET	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Konnor Griffin	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ AZ	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	0.0	0.4	1.3	62	UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Trea Turner	3/3	OAK @ PHI	H	0.3	1.1	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.8	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ SF	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cole Young	3/3	ATL @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daniel Schneemann	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	ATL @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathan Church	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	TEX @ NYY	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nolan Schanuel	3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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