Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 30 – May 13 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

45%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1316

MLB

Top Over

Kyle Schwarber

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Andy Pages

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Jonathan Aranda

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Willy Adames

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Oneil Cruz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	1.3	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	2.3	1.2	0.7	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Oneil Cruz	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	WSH @ CIN	H	2.3	1.4	0.9	88	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ CIN	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	2.3	1.2	1.2	84	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.1	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andres Gimenez	3/3	TB @ TOR	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	WSH @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mark Vientos	3/3	DET @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CIN	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rhys Hoskins	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Mclain	3/3	WSH @ CIN	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	2.0	1.8	0.7	57	OVER	+0.2	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Shea Langeliers	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brice Matthews	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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