Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 9 – May 15 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

47.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1320

MLB

Top Over

Jj Bleday

RBI • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Andy Pages

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Austin Martin

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Jj Bleday

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Daylen Lile

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Luis Rengifo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Kody Clemens

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Jake Burger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Miguel Andujar	3/3	SD @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TEX @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAD @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CHC @ CWS	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ COL	H	1.0	0.7	1.3	11	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ LAA	H	0.7	0.6	1.1	10	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ COL	H	1.0	0.8	1.3	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ OAK	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hyeseong Kim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Church	3/3	KC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	KC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sebastian Rivero	3/3	LAD @ LAA	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Story ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CHC @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ MIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cam Smith	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ PIT	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYY @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mitch Garver	3/3	SD @ SEA	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PHI @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	SF @ OAK	H	1.7	1.7	1.3	7	FADE UNDER	0.0	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	BOS @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SD @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	AZ @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ PIT	HR	0.7	0.7	0.5	7	FADE UNDER	0.0	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ WSH	H	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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