Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 9 – May 15 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

47.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1320

MLB

Top Over

Jj Bleday

RBI • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Andy Pages

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Austin Martin

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Jj Bleday

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Daylen Lile

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Luis Rengifo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Kody Clemens

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Jake Burger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brett Baty	3/3	NYY @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	BOS @ ATL	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Walker	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jarred Kelenic	3/3	CHC @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Altuve ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ SEA	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mitch Garver	3/3	SD @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Riley Greene	3/3	TOR @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CIN @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ TB	H	1.0	1.3	1.1	1	WATCH	-0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	1.0	1.3	0.9	1	WATCH	-0.3	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leo Jimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia	3/3	MIA @ TB	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ SEA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yoan Moncada ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ LAA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry	3/3	CIN @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ WSH	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ NYM	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	BOS @ ATL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYY @ NYM	H	0.7	0.6	0.9	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TB	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ OAK	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ PIT	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIL @ MIN	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	BOS @ ATL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Castellanos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ STL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SD @ SEA	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	SD @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	MIA @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CIN @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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