Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← May 20 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

45.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1333

MLB

Top Over

Keibert Ruiz

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Colson Montgomery

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Willy Adames

H • +0.3 • 19

Top 1

Keibert Ruiz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Bo Bichette

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Yandy Diaz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

James Wood

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Ryan Vilade

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	2.7	1.2	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	2.3	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.8	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	James Wood	3/3	NYM @ WSH	H	2.7	1.4	0.7	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	H	2.0	0.8	0.5	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	H	2.3	1.2	0.8	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ COL	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	2.3	1.3	0.9	91	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ WSH	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ CHC	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	BAL @ TB	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ AZ	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Josh Bell	3/3	HOU @ MIN	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ COL	H	2.3	1.2	1.3	81	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ NYY	H	2.3	1.6	0.7	77	OVER	+0.7	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	James Wood	3/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nolan Arenado ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ KC	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	NYM @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ WSH	H	2.0	0.8	1.3	72	TOP OVER	+1.2	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	BAL @ TB	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	BOS @ KC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	PIT @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ WSH	H	2.3	1.8	1.1	63	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ COL	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ CHC	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CIN @ PHI	RBI	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ AZ	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	J.p. Crawford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SEA	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jonny Deluca	3/3	BAL @ TB	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	SF @ AZ	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ NYY	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ TB	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ COL	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ WSH	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ CHC	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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