Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1310

MLB

Top Over

Teoscar Hernandez

RBI • +2.2 • 99

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 89

Top Fade

Austin Martin

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Teoscar Hernandez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Gunnar Henderson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 89 | Trend: -0.7 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	2.7	1.4	0.5	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	DET @ BAL	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CLE @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.7	0.5	89	TOP UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
5	Pete Alonso	3/3	DET @ BAL	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.0	0.9	1.3	83	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	0.0	1.0	1.1	79	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.1	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.0	1.4	0.7	77	TOP UNDER	-1.4	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Blake Dunn	3/3	STL @ CIN	H	2.0	1.2	0.8	77	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Owen Caissie	3/3	NYM @ MIA	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Trent Grisham ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Gavin Sheets	3/3	OAK @ SD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	CWS @ SF	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Oswald Peraza	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	MIN @ BOS	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nolan Schanuel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Otto Lopez	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.3	1.3	1.1	68	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	H	2.0	1.2	1.1	68	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CLE @ PHI	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ CIN	H	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Mclain	3/3	STL @ CIN	H	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ernie Clement	3/3	PIT @ TOR	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jakob Marsee	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Javier Sanoja ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ NYY	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	CWS @ SF	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Justin Foscue	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.8	55	OVER	+0.7	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Adley Rutschman	3/3	DET @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Austin Riley	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brent Rooker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	CLE @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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