Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1310

MLB

Top Over

Teoscar Hernandez

RBI • +2.2 • 99

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 89

Top Fade

Austin Martin

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Teoscar Hernandez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Gunnar Henderson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 89 | Trend: -0.7 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Corbin Carroll	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dane Myers	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Bauers	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Bleday	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Arraez	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Mclain	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	OAK @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Vilade	3/3	TB @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willson Contreras	3/3	MIN @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.3	0.8	1.3	53	UNDER	-0.5	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	PIT @ TOR	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.7	1.5	0.5	52	OVER	+0.2	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly	3/3	HOU @ CHC	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Isbel	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ CIN	H	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Conforto	3/3	HOU @ CHC	H	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.3	1.4	0.7	49	UNDER	-1.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ PHI	H	0.3	1.4	0.7	49	UNDER	-1.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CHC	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
George Springer	3/3	PIT @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Steer	3/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Blake Dunn	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	SEA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brice Turang	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Eldridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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