Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1310

MLB

Top Over

Teoscar Hernandez

RBI • +2.2 • 99

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 89

Top Fade

Austin Martin

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Teoscar Hernandez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Gunnar Henderson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 89 | Trend: -0.7 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Sal Frelick	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.9	0.7	36	UNDER	-0.6	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SF	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.5	36	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ SD	H	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyrone Taylor	3/3	NYM @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Cole ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CHC	H	0.0	0.4	0.5	36	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ LAA	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	H	1.3	1.0	0.8	36	OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	CLE @ PHI	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CHC	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	OAK @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	NYM @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	PIT @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Konnor Griffin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	SEA @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Otto Kemp ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ PHI	H	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	HOU @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Juan Soto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.6	0.5	35	UNDER	-0.3	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.7	0.4	0.5	35	OVER	+0.3	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ CHC	HR	0.7	0.4	0.5	35	OVER	+0.3	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.7	0.4	0.5	35	OVER	+0.3	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Zach Neto	3/3	TEX @ LAA	HR	0.7	0.4	0.5	35	OVER	+0.3	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Sal Stewart	3/3	STL @ CIN	H	1.7	1.2	1.3	34	OVER	+0.5	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Mclain	3/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.8	34	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Castellanos	3/3	OAK @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.8	34	UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	MIN @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ SD	H	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.0	0.7	0.5	34	OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ BAL	H	1.0	0.7	0.5	34	OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Torrens	3/3	NYM @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Allen	3/3	HOU @ CHC	H	0.0	0.3	0.5	34	UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ SD	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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