Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 1 – Jun 7 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

48.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1341

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +3.2 • 100

Top Under

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +3.2

Top 2

Jordan Walker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.9

Top 3

Willson Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Casey Schmitt

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Bo Bichette

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PIT @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	SF @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez	3/3	TB @ MIA	H	1.0	1.4	1.1	24	UNDER	-0.4	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pavin Smith	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Ramirez	3/3	SF @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rikuu Nishida	3/3	CWS @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Waldschmidt	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	MIL @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	NYM @ SD	H	1.0	1.5	0.5	23	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	CWS @ PHI	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ ATL	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ ATL	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ ATL	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.3	0.9	1.3	22	OVER	+0.4	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	WSH @ AZ	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ AZ	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
George Springer	3/3	BAL @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	BAL @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ DET	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	MIL @ COL	H	1.0	1.4	0.5	20	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ AZ	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ AZ	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	1.4	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.7	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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