Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 1 – Jun 7 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

48.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1341

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +3.2 • 100

Top Under

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +3.2

Top 2

Jordan Walker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.9

Top 3

Willson Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Casey Schmitt

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Bo Bichette

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAA @ LAD	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ian Happ	3/3	SF @ CHC	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Burleson	3/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Blake Dunn	3/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Smith	3/3	PIT @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ernie Clement	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jordan Walker	3/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Caballero	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Torrens	3/3	NYM @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Mclain ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Loftin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Gorman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Orlando Arcia	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Matthews	3/3	OAK @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Matthews	3/3	OAK @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Vazquez	3/3	OAK @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	SF @ CHC	H	0.7	1.3	0.5	16	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Mclain ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Vierling	3/3	SEA @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Orlando Arcia	3/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Jung	3/3	CLE @ TEX	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Orlando Arcia	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	SF @ CHC	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Troy Johnston	3/3	MIL @ COL	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ HOU	H	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ PHI	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	LAA @ LAD	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	SF @ CHC	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trent Grisham	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ COL	H	1.0	0.9	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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