Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 8 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

723

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Isiah Kiner-falefa

H • -1.0 • 73

Top Fade

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Matt Mclain

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Luis Garcia Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Matt Chapman	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	3.3	1.7	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+2.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Blake Dunn	3/3	CIN @ SD	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Valenzuela	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.8	73	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.0	0.9	1.0	73	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	2.3	1.5	1.3	73	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Shea Langeliers	3/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ CLE	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Freddy Fermin	3/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.6	1.0	67	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ SD	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.7	1.5	1.3	60	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.6	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luis Rengifo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ BAL	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Colton Cowser	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Valenzuela	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	1.7	1.0	0.8	55	OVER	+0.7	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jhonny Pereda	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Manzardo	3/3	NYY @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Manny Machado	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	NYY @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	NYY @ CLE	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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