Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

723

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Isiah Kiner-falefa

H • -1.0 • 73

Top Fade

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Matt Mclain

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Luis Garcia Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Luis Arraez	3/3	WSH @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Rengifo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Manny Machado	3/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Chapman	3/3	WSH @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Trout	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Myles Straw	3/3	PHI @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	MIL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	NYY @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Alonso	3/3	SEA @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	WSH @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	NYY @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	SEA @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	MIL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	NYY @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	BOS @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	SEA @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	NYY @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	PHI @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wade Meckler	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	WSH @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	BOS @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohendrick Pinango ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	MIL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	NYY @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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