Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

723

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Isiah Kiner-falefa

H • -1.0 • 73

Top Fade

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Matt Mclain

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Luis Garcia Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Sung-mun Song ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	MIL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ OAK	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Myles Straw	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mickey Gasper	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Emerson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ BAL	H	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	MIL @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	NYY @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ SF	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ SF	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Bolte	3/3	MIL @ OAK	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	WSH @ SF	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ OAK	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Meyers	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.7	0.8	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ BAL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
George Springer	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ SD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	WSH @ SF	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	1.3	1.1	1.3	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Patrick Wisdom	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Emerson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz	3/3	WSH @ SF	H	1.0	1.0	0.8	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ SD	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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