Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

723

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Isiah Kiner-falefa

H • -1.0 • 73

Top Fade

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Matt Mclain

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Luis Garcia Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Leody Taveras	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wade Meckler	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.3	1.0	50	UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ SD	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blake Dunn	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Colby Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Junior Caminero	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Keibert Ruiz	3/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mike Trout	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	NYY @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ty France	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wade Meckler	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CLE	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ TOR	H	0.0	0.4	0.8	46	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jhonny Pereda	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.8	46	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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