Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

723

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Isiah Kiner-falefa

H • -1.0 • 73

Top Fade

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Matt Mclain

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Luis Garcia Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Freddy Fermin	3/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Darell Hernaiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ OAK	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	MIL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ CLE	RBI	0.3	1.2	0.7	44	UNDER	-0.9	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.3	1.2	0.7	44	UNDER	-0.9	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddy Fermin	3/3	CIN @ SD	H	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ SF	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	1.7	1.1	1.1	43	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ TOR	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	NYY @ CLE	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brent Rooker	3/3	MIL @ OAK	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blake Dunn	3/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Valenzuela	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Brent Rooker	3/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Colton Cowser	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Matt Chapman	3/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ CLE	RBI	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SD	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Myles Straw	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	H	1.3	0.9	0.8	38	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	1.3	0.9	0.8	38	OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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