Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 1 – Jun 14 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50.9%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1462

MLB

Top Over

Ceddanne Rafaela

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

H • -1.2 • 77

Top Fade

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.0 • 28

Top 1

Ceddanne Rafaela

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Bo Bichette

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Garrett Mitchell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Bo Bichette

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Trammell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez	3/3	DET @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TEX @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews	3/3	SEA @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Endy Rodriguez	3/3	MIA @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Arias ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	DET @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Young	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Siri	3/3	TB @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Logan O'hoppe	3/3	TB @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Devers	3/3	CHC @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TEX @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	SEA @ WSH	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jose Trevino ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ BAL	H	1.0	0.5	1.1	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIL	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ MIN	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ MIL	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Mangum	3/3	MIA @ PIT	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ WSH	H	1.0	0.8	1.3	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	HOU @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edwin Arroyo	3/3	AZ @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Triolo	3/3	MIA @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Bleday	3/3	AZ @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Justin Foscue	3/3	TEX @ BOS	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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