Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 1 – Jun 14 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50.9%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1462

MLB

Top Over

Ceddanne Rafaela

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

H • -1.2 • 77

Top Fade

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.0 • 28

Top 1

Ceddanne Rafaela

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Bo Bichette

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Garrett Mitchell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Bo Bichette

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Outman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	MIA @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wade Meckler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ PIT	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	MIA @ PIT	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ CWS	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	SD @ BAL	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIL	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Rogers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ CLE	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jarren Duran	3/3	TEX @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Fermin	3/3	STL @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Soto	3/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	SD @ BAL	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIL	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	COL @ OAK	H	1.0	0.5	1.0	3	WATCH	+0.5	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ BOS	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAA	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ PIT	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sung-mun Song ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ BAL	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wade Meckler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jhonny Pereda ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ WSH	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	TB @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ KC	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ OAK	H	1.0	0.7	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ NYM	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIL	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Outman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Outman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	TEX @ BOS	H	1.0	0.7	0.9	1	WATCH	+0.3	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Marchan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Myles Straw	3/3	NYY @ TOR	H	1.0	0.6	1.0	0	WATCH	+0.4	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIL	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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