Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 20 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

80%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1240

MLB

Top Over

Corbin Carroll

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Byron Buxton

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • +0.9 • 25

Top 1

Corbin Carroll

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Trevor Larnach

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Colt Keith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jose Siri	3/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lawrence Butler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mookie Betts	3/3	BAL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ LAD	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ COL	H	1.0	0.7	1.3	11	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ MIA	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	CLE @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ MIA	H	1.0	1.5	0.9	10	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	CLE @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Meyers	3/3	CLE @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Mateo	3/3	MIL @ ATL	H	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Rojas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	WSH @ TB	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	CIN @ NYY	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Riley	3/3	MIL @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	SF @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Justin Crawford	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Vierling	3/3	CWS @ DET	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mookie Betts	3/3	BAL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ NYY	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cole Young	3/3	BOS @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tommy Troy	3/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Vierling	3/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	WSH @ TB	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daniel Susac	3/3	SF @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ MIA	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drew Romo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ DET	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	WSH @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	PIT @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Gray	3/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	CIN @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	MIN @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Springer	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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