Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1269

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -1.3 • 92

Top Fade

Bo Bichette

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Dansby Swanson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
James Outman	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jared Triolo	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ STL	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Arraez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ SF	H	1.0	1.2	1.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Royce Lewis	3/3	COL @ MIN	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls	3/3	AZ @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Troy	3/3	AZ @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wade Meckler	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	1.3	1.2	0.8	31	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	1.3	1.7	0.5	30	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TEX @ TOR	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Wilson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	COL @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TEX @ TOR	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	SEA @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ DET	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TEX @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Meyers	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	MIA @ STL	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Jung ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ STL	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	COL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Gasper ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie	3/3	MIA @ STL	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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