Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1269

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -1.3 • 92

Top Fade

Bo Bichette

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Dansby Swanson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Billy Cook	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Smith	3/3	ATL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	ATL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Meyers	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Javier Sanoja ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcelo Mayer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Mclain ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Church	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nicky Lopez	3/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Petey Halpin	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Ward ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	1.0	1.5	0.5	23	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	HOU @ DET	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ MIN	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ BAL	H	0.7	1.5	0.5	21	FADE UNDER	-0.8	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Donovan Walton	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.7	1.4	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.7	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	MIA @ STL	H	0.7	1.4	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.7	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ DET	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Victor Caratini	3/3	COL @ MIN	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Loperfido	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ TOR	H	0.7	1.3	0.5	16	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Juan Soto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	H	0.7	1.3	0.5	16	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	1.3	0.5	16	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIL	H	0.7	1.3	0.5	16	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ BAL	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ TB	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	HOU @ DET	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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