Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1269

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -1.3 • 92

Top Fade

Bo Bichette

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Dansby Swanson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Bauers	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Young	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Masyn Winn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ CLE	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Soler	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	3/3	AZ @ TB	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Donovan Walton	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.5	52	UNDER	-1.0	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.5	52	UNDER	-1.0	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton	3/3	COL @ MIN	H	0.7	1.2	1.5	51	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Derek Hill	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.7	0.4	1.3	51	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.7	0.4	1.3	51	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	1.7	1.2	0.8	50	OVER	+0.5	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIN	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	COL @ MIN	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ STL	H	2.0	1.1	1.5	49	OVER	+0.9	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.3	1.0	1.0	49	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.7	1.6	0.5	49	OVER	+0.1	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Samad Taylor	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	1.7	1.6	0.5	49	OVER	+0.1	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Francisco Lindor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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