Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1506

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -1.1 • 92

Top Fade

Esmerlyn Valdez

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Hunter Goodman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Ernie Clement

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.7

Top 4

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Junior Caminero

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +0.9

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samad Taylor	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	0.7	1.2	0.6	10	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	SEA @ CLE	H	0.7	1.2	0.6	10	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	1.0	1.1	0.6	9	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	SEA @ CLE	H	1.0	1.1	0.6	9	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	1.0	1.1	0.6	9	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Juan Soto	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.0	1.1	0.6	9	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	HOU @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.6	9	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.6	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colby Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.3	0.1	0.6	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ TB	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan Kreidler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIN	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIN	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Anthony Seigler	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	SEA @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
David Hamilton	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ STL	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Bauers	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Donovan Walton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.7	1.1	0.6	7	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	0.7	1.1	0.6	7	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	0.7	1.1	0.6	7	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Joey Bart ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ SF	H	0.7	1.1	0.6	7	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.7	1.1	0.6	7	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.7	1.1	0.6	7	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.6	7	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Freeman	3/3	COL @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wade Meckler	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TEX @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TEX @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ CLE	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Rincones Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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