Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1506

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -1.1 • 92

Top Fade

Esmerlyn Valdez

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Hunter Goodman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Ernie Clement

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.7

Top 4

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Junior Caminero

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +0.9

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Vierling	3/3	HOU @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Noelvi Marte	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Raynel Delgado	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Raynel Delgado	3/3	HOU @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Friedl ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Gray ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	AZ @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Robles ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Robles ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wyatt Langford ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	0.3	0.2	0.6	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Chapman	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	0.3	0.2	0.6	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ CLE	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.6	5	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alika Williams	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samad Taylor	3/3	LAD @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Callihan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yohendrick Pinango ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	AZ @ TB	H	1.3	1.7	1.3	5	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.0	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bo Bichette	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.0	1.3	0.8	4	WATCH	-0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ TOR	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	1.0	1.0	0.6	3	WATCH	0.0	+0.4	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ BOS	H	0.3	0.3	0.6	3	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
James Outman	3/3	HOU @ DET	H	0.3	0.3	0.6	3	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	WSH @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Noelvi Marte	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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