Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 17 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1243

MLB

Top Over

Jonathan Aranda

H • +1.5 • 93

Top Under

Jj Wetherholt

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Brice Turang

H • +0.8 • 28

Top 1

Jonathan Aranda

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Ben Williamson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jj Wetherholt

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.5

Top 4

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Logan O'hoppe	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Arraez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ NL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Raley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcelo Mayer ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Vierling	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ NL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Massey	3/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mickey Gasper ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nicky Lopez	3/3	TEX @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ozzie Albies ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ NL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Petey Halpin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ AL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tsung-che Cheng	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Robles	3/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	SD @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ NL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ OAK	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ AL	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Lane Thomas	3/3	SD @ KC	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ MIL	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Anthony Seigler	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ernie Clement ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ AL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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