Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1243

MLB

Top Over

Jonathan Aranda

H • +1.5 • 93

Top Under

Jj Wetherholt

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Brice Turang

H • +0.8 • 28

Top 1

Jonathan Aranda

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Ben Williamson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jj Wetherholt

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.5

Top 4

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Sam Antonacci ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ AL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	LAD @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	BAL @ HOU	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	SD @ KC	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ AL	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cj Abrams ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ NL	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nick Loftin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ KC	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Salvador Perez	3/3	SD @ KC	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sam Antonacci ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ HOU	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Yordan Alvarez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ AL	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Altuve	3/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	CIN @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ AL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	STL @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ AL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ AL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ NL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Seigler	3/3	TB @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	TEX @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	LAD @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Malgeri ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ AL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ AL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	PIT @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Matthews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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