Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 19 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1306

MLB

Top Over

Braden Montgomery

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Braden Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Willy Adames

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.3	1.2	0.8	47	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dalton Rushing	3/3	LAD @ NYY	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ NYY	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	CIN @ COL	H	1.7	1.3	0.8	47	OVER	+0.4	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ TOR	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Trea Turner	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.7	1.0	1.5	45	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	1.5	45	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ KC	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Rincones Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Romy Gonzalez	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.3	0.8	1.0	43	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	LAD @ NYY	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Lane Thomas	3/3	SD @ KC	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Massey	3/3	SD @ KC	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ COL	H	2.0	1.4	1.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ernie Clement	3/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIL	RBI	1.3	1.2	0.5	40	OVER	+0.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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