Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 19 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1306

MLB

Top Over

Braden Montgomery

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Jackson Merrill

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Braden Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Willy Adames

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Cole Carrigg ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ SEA	H	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Tovar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Henry Davis	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	CIN @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
James Outman	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Vierling	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pedro Pages	3/3	STL @ AZ	H	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ TOR	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CHC	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	0.7	0.7	1.3	31	UNDER	0.0	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CHC	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ HOU	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	MIN @ CHC	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ SEA	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ HOU	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ TOR	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	SD @ KC	H	1.0	1.1	1.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Cavanaugh	3/3	SF @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Elias Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jared Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jase Bowen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ KC	H	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jase Bowen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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