Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 14 – Jul 20 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

19%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1307

MLB

Top Over

Drake Baldwin

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Bobby Witt Jr.

H • -1.5 • 87

Top Fade

Dylan Crews

H • -0.8 • 28

Top 1

Drake Baldwin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Fernando Tatis Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Tsung-che Cheng ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Robles	3/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ NYY	H	1.3	1.2	1.0	24	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ COL	H	1.0	0.5	1.5	23	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	SD @ ATL	H	0.7	0.6	1.5	22	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Lane Thomas	3/3	SF @ KC	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	STL @ LAA	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Chase Delauter	3/3	MIN @ CLE	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Zach Neto	3/3	STL @ LAA	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Bohm	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Evan Carter	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	SD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Weston Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ KC	H	1.3	0.7	1.5	16	FADE OVER	+0.6	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ NYY	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cole Carrigg ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ COL	H	1.0	0.8	1.5	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ SEA	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ COL	H	1.0	0.6	1.3	14	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ AZ	H	0.7	0.3	1.0	14	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Bregman	3/3	DET @ CHC	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ketel Marte	3/3	OAK @ AZ	H	1.3	0.8	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ NYY	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ HOU	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CLE	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ HOU	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ LAA	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Salvador Perez	3/3	SF @ KC	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CHC	H	1.0	0.9	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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