Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 14 – Jul 20 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

19%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1307

MLB

Top Over

Drake Baldwin

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Bobby Witt Jr.

H • -1.5 • 87

Top Fade

Dylan Crews

H • -0.8 • 28

Top 1

Drake Baldwin

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Nico Hoerner

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Fernando Tatis Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis	3/3	PIT @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	PIT @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joc Pederson	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	NYM @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	SD @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez	3/3	SF @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIL	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ NYY	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Carson Benge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIL	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ HOU	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BAL @ BOS	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	NYM @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	WSH @ COL	H	1.3	1.0	1.5	8	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
James Wood	3/3	WSH @ COL	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Mike Trout	3/3	STL @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ NYY	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	DET @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	LAD @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tim Tawa	3/3	OAK @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	LAD @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TB @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	DET @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TB @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Seigler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	SD @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	PIT @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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