Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1322

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cole Carrigg

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Spencer Torkelson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Steven Kwan

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ COL	H	1.0	1.0	1.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	AZ @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	TEX @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	PHI @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tim Tawa	3/3	AZ @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	KC @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	AZ @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	MIL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	MIL @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	MIL @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
George Springer	3/3	STL @ TOR	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Josh Naylor	3/3	MIN @ SEA	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pete Alonso	3/3	PHI @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	NYY @ CHC	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ SEA	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Urias	3/3	STL @ TOR	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Mclain	3/3	PIT @ CIN	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Alonso	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ CHC	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ OAK	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ CIN	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	BOS @ LAD	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Kepler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	AZ @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Robert Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ LAD	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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