Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1332

MLB

Top Over

Ceddanne Rafaela

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Luis Arraez

H • -1.0 • 77

Top Fade

Jeremy Pena

H • +1.0 • 31

Top 1

Ceddanne Rafaela

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

James Mccann

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.3

Top 3

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Spencer Torkelson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Alec Burleson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Robert Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios	3/3	TB @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	TB @ COL	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ BOS	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	SF @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger	3/3	SF @ TEX	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	CWS @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	DET @ SEA	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CHC	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carter Jensen	3/3	MIN @ KC	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ BOS	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	MIN @ KC	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Bleday	3/3	OAK @ CIN	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ KC	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	1.3	1.4	1.3	WATCH	-0.1	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corey Seager	3/3	SF @ TEX	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ BOS	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	1.3	1.3	1.3	WATCH	+0.0	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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