Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Aug 11 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1285

MLB

Top Over

Ivan Herrera

H • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Wilyer Abreu

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Royce Lewis

H • +0.8 • 28

Top 1

Ivan Herrera

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jackson Holliday

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Jac Caglianone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Andres Gimenez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Ivan Herrera	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	3.0	1.3	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.7	+2.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ LAD	RBI	2.3	1.2	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Andres Gimenez	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Cam Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SF	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ LAD	H	2.3	1.5	0.5	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIA	H	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ LAD	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ STL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	2.7	1.8	1.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	2.3	1.4	1.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Everson Pereira ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ STL	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cam Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SF	H	2.0	1.6	0.5	68	OVER	+0.4	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Osleivis Basabe	3/3	HOU @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Royce Lewis	3/3	BAL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	KC @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ CWS	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	0.0	0.3	1.5	66	UNDER	-0.3	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ NYY	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan Jeffers	3/3	BAL @ MIN	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colt Keith	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jared Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ SF	H	0.3	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.6	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	0.3	0.9	1.5	62	UNDER	-0.6	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jakob Marsee	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ ATL	H	2.0	1.3	1.0	60	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	2.0	1.7	0.7	59	OVER	+0.3	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	2.0	1.7	0.7	59	OVER	+0.3	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Henry Bolte	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIA	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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