Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 14 – Aug 12 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.1%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1307

MLB

Top Over

Pete Alonso

H • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Luis Arraez

H • -1.3 • 80

Top Fade

Steven Kwan

H • +1.0 • 31

Top 1

Pete Alonso

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Yandy Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.4

Top 3

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Ian Happ

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ OAK	H	2.7	1.3	1.3	97	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.4	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ CWS	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ WSH	H	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ MIN	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ MIN	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ DET	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Luis Arraez	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	0.0	0.8	1.3	80	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ OAK	H	2.7	1.9	1.3	74	OVER	+0.8	+1.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ STL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jose Altuve ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ SF	H	0.0	1.1	0.8	72	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trent Grisham	3/3	SEA @ NYY	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ivan Herrera	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	CLE @ DET	H	0.3	1.3	1.1	68	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	1.7	0.7	0.9	68	TOP OVER	+1.0	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Osleivis Basabe	3/3	HOU @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brett Baty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TOR	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ SF	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Drew Gilbert	3/3	HOU @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	COL @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Rengifo	3/3	MIL @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ CWS	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ MIN	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Griffin Conine	3/3	PIT @ MIA	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Masyn Winn	3/3	PHI @ STL	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Osleivis Basabe	3/3	HOU @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Young	3/3	CHC @ WSH	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ DET	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ OAK	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ty France	3/3	MIL @ SD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jared Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ ATL	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Austin Riley	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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