Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 16 – Aug 14 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1230

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Dillon Dingler

H • -1.1 • 79

Top Fade

Jac Caglianone

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Rafael Flores Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.2

Top 4

Ketel Marte

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Trent Grisham

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Locklear	3/3	AZ @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	MIA @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor	3/3	STL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	KC @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Bericoto	3/3	COL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	BAL @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	NYY @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wade Meckler	3/3	KC @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	BAL @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	TEX @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Koss	3/3	COL @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Springer	3/3	NYY @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Tena ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	KC @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Bichette	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	STL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Francisco Lindor	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gary Sanchez	3/3	MIL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Leody Taveras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Liam Hicks	3/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	WSH @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	AZ @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	AZ @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	STL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ CHC	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BAL @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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