Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 20 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

41.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1374

MLB

Top Over

Walker Jenkins

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cody Bellinger

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Jackson Merrill

H • +0.3 • 30

Top 1

Walker Jenkins

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Mookie Betts

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Will Smith

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Ty France

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Kyle Tucker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nick Allen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Fortes	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Sogard	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	KC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sean Keys ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shay Whitcomb	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Steven Kwan	3/3	OAK @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tim Tawa	3/3	NYY @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tommy White	3/3	OAK @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Turner Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wilyer Abreu ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TOR @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	ATL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yohandy Morales ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cam Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ HOU	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack	3/3	MIA @ SD	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	NYY @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Max Clark	3/3	DET @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TB	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	SEA @ COL	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ HOU	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ COL	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Donovan Walton	3/3	OAK @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ LAA	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ CLE	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.8	46	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ethan Salas	3/3	MIA @ SD	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Josh Jung	3/3	TOR @ TEX	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Pavin Smith	3/3	NYY @ AZ	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Walker Jenkins	3/3	MIN @ LAA	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ STL	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	DET @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Coby Mayo	3/3	MIL @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy White	3/3	OAK @ CLE	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	MIN @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Juan Soto	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ HOU	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ SD	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.1	1.0	45	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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