Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 25 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1391

MLB

Top Over

Lawrence Butler

H • +2.2 • 99

Top Under

Fernando Tatis Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Cole Carrigg

H • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Lawrence Butler

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Braden Montgomery

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Gabriel Moreno

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Julio Rodriguez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Francisco Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ DET	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cj Abrams	3/3	NYM @ WSH	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	COL @ CWS	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Oneil Cruz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Walker Jenkins	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	ATL @ MIA	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Rafael Flores Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ WSH	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Max Clark	3/3	PIT @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ TOR	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Donovan Walton	3/3	HOU @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oneil Cruz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Flores Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	PIT @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tommy Edman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Story	3/3	CHC @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ WSH	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryce Harper	3/3	TB @ PHI	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
William Contreras	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	HOU @ OAK	H	1.3	1.0	1.5	8	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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