Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 25 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1391

MLB

Top Over

Lawrence Butler

H • +2.2 • 99

Top Under

Fernando Tatis Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Cole Carrigg

H • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Lawrence Butler

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Braden Montgomery

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Gabriel Moreno

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Julio Rodriguez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Francisco Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	CLE @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wade Meckler	3/3	LAA @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Walker Jenkins	3/3	TEX @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Weston Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	STL @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	CHC @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	AZ @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zac Veen	3/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez	3/3	ATL @ MIA	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly	3/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
George Springer	3/3	CIN @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ DET	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Bauers	3/3	STL @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Manny Machado	3/3	AZ @ SD	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mark Vientos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ WSH	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mickey Moniak ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	ATL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Story	3/3	CHC @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	TB @ PHI	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	TEX @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	HOU @ OAK	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hector Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ TOR	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lazaro Montes	3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	COL @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tim Tawa	3/3	AZ @ SD	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zac Veen	3/3	COL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Jorge	3/3	CIN @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Siri	3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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