Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 25 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1391

MLB

Top Over

Lawrence Butler

H • +2.2 • 99

Top Under

Fernando Tatis Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Cole Carrigg

H • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Lawrence Butler

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Braden Montgomery

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Gabriel Moreno

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Julio Rodriguez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Francisco Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Samad Taylor	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Turner Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ty France	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Victor Bericoto	3/3	LAD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	AZ @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	CIN @ TOR	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	COL @ CWS	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	CHC @ BOS	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	NYM @ WSH	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	AZ @ SD	H	2.0	1.2	1.5	47	OVER	+0.8	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jorbit Vivas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ WSH	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	H	1.3	0.6	0.8	46	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	COL @ CWS	H	1.7	1.1	1.0	46	OVER	+0.6	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ MIA	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ OAK	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ TOR	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Kyle Stowers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	CHC @ BOS	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ OAK	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ OAK	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zack Gelof	3/3	HOU @ OAK	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	TB @ PHI	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	HOU @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Danny Jansen	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ TOR	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Arroyo	3/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Samad Taylor	3/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	AZ @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Weston Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	TEX @ MIN	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ MIA	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ SEA	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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