Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 23 – Sep 29 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

371

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

TB • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Fernando Tatis Jr.

HR • -1.0 • 68

Top Fade

Xander Bogaerts

TB • -2.0 • 57

Top 1

Alex Bregman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Bryson Stott

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Lucas Spence

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	TB	3.7	1.1	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.6	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Jeremy Pena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	3.3	1.0	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.3	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Michael Harris Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	3.0	0.9	1.5	90	TOP OVER	+2.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Lucas Spence	3/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	3.0	0.9	1.5	90	TOP OVER	+2.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kyle Teel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yainer Diaz	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeremy Pena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ HOU	R	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Christian Walker	3/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	2.3	0.7	1.5	58	OVER	+1.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	TB	1.3	0.4	3.3	57	FADE OVER	+0.9	-2.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Ben Rice	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Miguel Vargas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Spencer Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Yainer Diaz	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	2.3	0.7	1.7	54	OVER	+1.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Samad Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jeremy Pena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeremy Pena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Hays ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jackson Merrill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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