Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 29 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

66.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

371

MLB

Top Over

Alex Bregman

TB • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Fernando Tatis Jr.

HR • -1.0 • 68

Top Fade

Xander Bogaerts

TB • -2.0 • 57

Top 1

Alex Bregman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Bryson Stott

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Lucas Spence

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Anthony Volpe	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Harris Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.9	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.0	1.1	0.9	WATCH	-0.1	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Roman Anthony	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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