Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 30 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

16.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

383

MLB

Top Over

Manny Machado

TB • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Munetaka Murakami

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Cam Smith

TB • -1.5 • 42

Top 1

Manny Machado

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Alex Bregman

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Ben Rice

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Bryson Stott

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Merrill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Altuve	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Harris Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Roman Anthony ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Taylor Trammell ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ty France	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
George Lombard Jr.	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.7	1.1	1.0	46	OVER	+0.6	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	1.3	0.4	1.0	45	OVER	+0.9	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Lucas Spence	3/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.7	1.3	0.9	44	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pedro Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	CWS @ HOU	TB	1.0	0.3	2.5	42	FADE OVER	+0.7	-1.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Teel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	H	1.3	0.8	0.8	41	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Roman Anthony ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.3	0.7	1.0	41	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dustin Harris	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jeremy Pena ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Manny Machado	3/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SD	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ SD	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lucas Spence	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ SD	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	CWS @ HOU	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ha-seong Kim	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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