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Top Plays

Top Plays Record
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Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
2
Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.
Visible Top Plays
88
MLB
Top Over
H • +1.7 • 100
Top Under
HR • -0.5 • 55
Top Fade
HR • -0.2 • 18
Top 1
H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.7
Top 2
H • OVER
Conf: 77 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +1.8
Top 3
TB • OVER
Conf: 69 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5
Top 4
R • TOP OVER
Conf: 66 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8
Top 5
HR • UNDER
Conf: 55 | Trend: -0.2 | Edge: -0.5
Top 5 Action Player Active Matchup Metric Recent Avg Baseline Avg Line Confidence Signal Trend Delta Line Edge Why
1 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB H 2.7 1.3 1.0 100 TOP OVER +1.4 +1.7 Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2 William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB H 2.3 1.6 0.5 77 OVER +0.7 +1.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
3 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 3.0 1.7 1.5 69 OVER +1.3 +1.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
4 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB R 1.3 0.5 0.5 66 TOP OVER +0.8 +0.8 Up trend plus supportive prop value.
5 Garrett Mitchell 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.2 0.5 55 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.2 0.5 55 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB RBI 1.3 0.7 0.5 53 OVER +0.6 +0.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB H 1.3 0.7 0.5 53 OVER +0.6 +0.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB H 1.3 0.8 0.5 51 OVER +0.5 +0.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ TB H 1.3 0.8 0.5 51 OVER +0.5 +0.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 0.0 0.2 1.5 49 UNDER -0.2 -1.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.1 0.5 49 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.1 0.5 49 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.1 0.5 49 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Bauers 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.1 0.5 49 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.1 0.5 49 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.1 0.5 49 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Victor Mesa Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.1 0.5 49 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB H 1.3 0.9 0.5 48 OVER +0.4 +0.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ TB H 1.3 1.0 0.5 45 OVER +0.3 +0.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 0.7 1.5 1.5 44 UNDER -0.8 -0.8 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ TB RBI 1.0 0.3 0.5 44 OVER +0.7 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ TB R 1.0 0.3 0.5 44 OVER +0.7 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers 3/3 MIL @ TB RBI 0.0 0.6 0.5 42 UNDER -0.6 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ TB R 1.0 0.5 0.5 39 OVER +0.5 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 0.7 1.0 1.5 36 UNDER -0.3 -0.8 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ TB RBI 0.0 0.4 0.5 36 UNDER -0.4 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 2.0 1.3 1.5 34 OVER +0.7 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson 3/3 MIL @ TB H 1.0 0.7 0.5 34 OVER +0.3 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB RBI 1.0 0.7 0.5 34 OVER +0.3 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ TB H 1.0 0.7 0.5 34 OVER +0.3 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 2.0 1.5 1.5 31 OVER +0.5 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 1.0 1.5 1.5 31 UNDER -0.5 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 2.3 2.3 1.5 31 OVER +0.0 +0.8 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB RBI 0.0 0.2 0.5 31 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonny Deluca 3/3 MIL @ TB R 0.0 0.2 0.5 31 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonny Deluca 3/3 MIL @ TB RBI 0.0 0.2 0.5 31 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ TB H 1.0 0.8 0.5 31 OVER +0.2 +0.5 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls 3/3 MIL @ TB H 0.0 0.2 0.5 31 UNDER -0.2 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 1.0 1.4 1.5 29 UNDER -0.4 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls 3/3 MIL @ TB R 0.0 0.1 0.5 29 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB R 0.7 0.2 0.5 27 OVER +0.5 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 0.0 0.0 1.5 26 WATCH 0.0 -1.5 Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB R 0.3 0.7 0.5 25 UNDER -0.4 -0.2 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers 3/3 MIL @ TB R 0.7 0.3 0.5 25 OVER +0.4 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RBI 0.7 0.3 0.5 25 OVER +0.4 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ TB RBI 0.7 0.3 0.5 25 OVER +0.4 +0.2 Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ TB TB 1.0 1.1 1.5 24 UNDER -0.1 -0.5 Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.0 0.5 24 WATCH 0.0 -0.5 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ TB HR 0.0 0.0 0.5 24 WATCH 0.0 -0.5 Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.
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