Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1256

MLB

Top Over

Brandon Lowe

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Christian Walker

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Teoscar Hernandez

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Brandon Lowe

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Jeremiah Jackson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ryan Jeffers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jeremiah Jackson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Brandon Lowe	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	3.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+2.3	+2.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	2.7	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	H	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CHC @ PHI	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	AZ @ BAL	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ketel Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ BAL	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ MIL	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ MIN	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ MIL	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Aaron Judge	3/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CHC @ PHI	HR	1.0	0.4	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ MIN	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jose Caballero	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ NYY	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ramon Laureano	3/3	SEA @ SD	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	2.3	1.5	1.3	73	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	SF @ CIN	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	2.0	1.2	1.1	68	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Christian Walker	3/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	CLE @ STL	HR	1.0	0.7	0.5	68	TOP OVER	+0.3	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Olson	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	NYM @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Max Muncy	3/3	NYM @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	0.0	0.6	1.3	67	UNDER	-0.6	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Christian Walker	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	0.0	0.9	0.8	67	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	NYM @ LAD	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	WSH @ PIT	H	1.7	0.8	0.9	65	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Aaron Judge	3/3	LAA @ NYY	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CHC @ PHI	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Trevor Story	3/3	BOS @ MIN	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jonathan India ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	AZ @ BAL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SEA @ SD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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